KY & OR Exit Polls

by American1989, Tue May 20, 2008 at 06:12:17 PM EST

As per FOX:

KENTUCKY

73% White Voters - CLINTON
74% No College Degree - CLINTON
74% Low Income Whites (Reagan Democrats?) - CLINTON
78% Seniors - CLINTON

Economy Voters: 68% CLINTON 28% OBAMA
Obama Shares Values? 52% NO 47% YES
Edwards Endorsement Important? 51% NO 45% YES (Those who said Yes, went 51% OBAMA)

OBAMA VS. MCCAIN ---- 50% OBAMA 32% MCCAIN 15% STAY HOME
CLINTON VS. MCCAIN --- 77% CLINTON 17% MCCAIN 6% STAY HOME

OREGON EXIT POLL (Done Via Phone)

56% OBAMA
42% CLINTON

70% Young Voters - OBAMA
49% Women Voters - CLINTON
55% Rural Voters - CLINTON




Tags: Kentucky, Oregon (all tags)

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Permalink :: 22 Comments :: Post a Comment


KY Results Top WV for Clinton (2.00 / 1)

Clinton cracked 40% in Oregon, so I can't be all glum.


I proudly support Barack Obama for President!
by Zeitgeist9000 on Tue May 20, 2008 at 06:13:38 PM EST

Re: KY & OR Exit Polls (none / 0)

Wow - she lost women in Oregon?


John McCain hates terrorists, except the ones that hate women. Those are just swell.
by terra on Tue May 20, 2008 at 06:15:52 PM EST

Re: KY & OR Exit Polls (none / 0)

Interesting results.  Edwards didn't have that much of an impact.

I'd really like to see Obama break 55 in Oregon.

One question - if Clinton got 49% and won the women vote, who got the other % to keep her under 50%?


by NewOaklandDem on Tue May 20, 2008 at 06:17:21 PM EST

Right on schedule... (none / 0)

... like every primary day.


Ignorance is weakness. Get strong.
by tbetz on Tue May 20, 2008 at 06:26:08 PM EST

Re: KY & OR Exit Polls (none / 0)

I have almost no confidence in exit polls conducted by phone. I understand that in a mail in system they are necessary, but I think I would just leave it alone.


by arkansasdemocrat on Tue May 20, 2008 at 06:26:56 PM EST

Re: KY & OR Exit Polls (none / 0)

Agreed.


by NewOaklandDem on Tue May 20, 2008 at 06:32:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: KY & OR Exit Polls (none / 0)

Exit polls are delivered without any margin of error.  Why?
They're perfect.
by niksder on Tue May 20, 2008 at 06:37:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

edwards endorsement? (none / 0)

So if 51 % of those people who said Edwars endorsement was important went to Obama, it means that 49 % went to Clinton. Talk about positive effect?


by ann0nymous on Tue May 20, 2008 at 07:00:03 PM EST

Re: edwards endorsement? (none / 0)

Good point.  Although are the people saying yes saying "yes, it was important to how I voted" or a more general "yes, it was important to the campaign."  If the latter, I could see a lot of Clinton supporters saying yes, it was important in terms of the campaign, but not to them.  

If the former---which still seems more likely---its a bit of a quandry.  There's only 3 possible options I see (could be a mix)

1. Clinton backers believe Edwards endorsement was important, have a neutral to positive opinion of him, but it wasn't enough to change their vote

  1. Clinton backers believe Edwards endorsed Clinton
  2. Lots of people are specifically going against Obama b/c Edwards endorsed him.

My guess is that #1 is the most important factor, followed by #2 and only a few folks falling into #3.  But I could definitely be wrong, or could have missed another interpretation.


John McCain: Healthcare for Kids? In America? No way
by bosdcla14 on Tue May 20, 2008 at 07:23:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Why don't Hillary supporters listen to her? (none / 0)

When she urges them to vote for the Democrat? Why can't she lead them?
by JJE on Tue May 20, 2008 at 07:48:28 PM EST


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